WHAT WILL 2026 BRING FOR THE DATACENTRE SECTOR

By James Hart, CEO at BCS, the global datacentre consultancy.

As Europe’s data centre sector enters another intense phase, the industry looks set to face a year defined by power constraints, policy reform, and the race for project certainty. Here are some key themes likely to dominate boardroom and investor discussions in 2026.

1. Permitting Pathways and Programme Certainty

With the UK’s Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP) regime taking shape and new national frameworks in France, the Netherlands, and Ireland, attention will turn to how these systems actually compress time-to-NTP. Grid allocation will remain a high-stakes lottery, while some local authorities move to fast-track data centres as strategic employment assets.

2. Power First, Everything Else Second

Power remains the ultimate governor. Developers are pursuing creative grid solutions from phased energisation and private-wire links to on-site generation and storage. Expect 24/7 carbon-matching PPAs to become standard and investment to surge in secondary markets with genuine grid capacity.

3. Heat-Reuse as a Planning Lever

Following Denmark’s policy shift and EU pressure, heat-reuse will evolve from sustainability talking point to planning prerequisite. Heat-offtake MoUs will increasingly accompany land deals, shaping plant layouts and system temperatures.

4. Water Resilience by Design

Developers are responding to scrutiny with dry, adiabatic, and hybrid cooling systems, alongside recycled or grey-water sourcing. Expect Water Usage Effectiveness (WUE) covenants to appear in leases and Section 106-style agreements, especially in water-stressed regions like South East England and Iberia.

5. Embodied Carbon and Modern Methods of Construction (MMC)

Client briefs are moving upstream, demanding lifecycle carbon assessments (LCA) at RIBA Stages 2–3, modular plantrooms, and low-carbon materials such as LVL–steel hybrids. These trends anticipate EU and member-state carbon disclosure rules.

6. Location Strategy Resets

With the FLAP-D markets (Frankfurt, London, Amsterdam, Paris, Dublin) grid-constrained, new investment will flow toward Spain, Italy, Poland, and the Nordics. Grid-ready land with pre-secured high-voltage access is fast becoming a distinct asset class.

7. Supply Chain Realism

Equipment bottlenecks persist, with transformers, switchgear, and chillers defining the critical path. Contractors with locked-in manufacturing slots and early vendor partnerships will be best positioned to deliver on schedule.

8. Community Licence to Operate

Local acceptance is rising on the agenda. Biodiversity, traffic, and visual design standards are increasingly tied to approvals, while UK cities may link heat-network zoning to data centre permits.

In conclusion:  2026 will reward developers who treat power, carbon, and community as strategic variables not compliance exercises. The next competitive edge lies in certainty of connection, construction, and consent.

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